Predify
Every prediction is frozen and timestamped before kickoff, then graded after the match. Nothing is retouched: the record below is verifiable, not marketing.
Calibrated. our probabilities deviate on average by just 0.9% from reality — measured on 5,883 predictions, recalibrated daily.
5769 more prediction(s) awaiting results · model dixon-coles-ts@0.1.0
Performance recomputed over history (no future data) and compared to the market — useful while the verified record fills up.
Sample: 195 predictions · Liga Profesional
The market stays the benchmark — our results speak for themselves.
When we say "70%", does it happen ~70% of the time? The closer the points hug the diagonal, the more reliable our probabilities.
| Predicted | Observed | n |
|---|---|---|
| 8% | 20% | 10 |
| 16% | 16% | 75 |
| 25% | 33% | 149 |
| 34% | 34% | 202 |
| 45% | 37% | 89 |
| 54% | 55% | 38 |
| 65% | 44% | 18 |
| 74% | 50% | 4 |