Every prediction is frozen and timestamped before kickoff, then graded after the match. Nothing is retouched: the record below is verifiable, not marketing.
Calibrated. our probabilities deviate on average by just 0.6% from reality — measured on 18,595 predictions, recalibrated daily.
5769 more prediction(s) awaiting results · model [email protected]
Performance recomputed over history (no future data) and compared to the market — useful while the verified record fills up.
Sample: 1315 predictions · Ligue 1
The market stays the benchmark — our results speak for themselves.
The gold-standard proof of edge: do our value picks beat the bookmaker's closing line — the sharpest price on the market? A small positive edge is real; ignore anyone promising more.
When we say "70%", does it happen ~70% of the time? The closer the points hug the diagonal, the more reliable our probabilities.
| Predicted | Observed | n |
|---|---|---|
| 7% | 10% | 126 |
| 16% | 18% | 558 |
| 25% | 25% | 1457 |
| 34% | 35% | 710 |
| 45% | 43% | 421 |
| 55% | 52% | 343 |
| 64% | 64% | 204 |
| 75% | 73% | 94 |
| 84% | 71% | 28 |
| 91% | 100% | 4 |