Predify
Every prediction is frozen and timestamped before kickoff, then graded after the match. Nothing is retouched: the record below is verifiable, not marketing.
Calibrated. our probabilities deviate on average by just 0.9% from reality — measured on 5,883 predictions, recalibrated daily.
5769 more prediction(s) awaiting results · model dixon-coles-ts@0.1.0
Performance recomputed over history (no future data) and compared to the market — useful while the verified record fills up.
Sample: 135 predictions · Brasileirão Série A
The market stays the benchmark — our results speak for themselves.
When we say "70%", does it happen ~70% of the time? The closer the points hug the diagonal, the more reliable our probabilities.
| Predicted | Observed | n |
|---|---|---|
| 8% | 0% | 4 |
| 16% | 18% | 44 |
| 26% | 28% | 150 |
| 34% | 36% | 103 |
| 45% | 43% | 58 |
| 55% | 42% | 26 |
| 66% | 50% | 16 |
| 75% | 100% | 4 |