Predify
World Cup 2026
Title probabilities from our proprietary engine: we replay the tournament thousands of times (real results + remaining matches projected by our engine) and count the winners.
1
Argentina
Argentina20.1%
final 33% · ½ 49%2
Spain
Spain15.5%
final 25% · ½ 41%3
France
France15.5%
final 27% · ½ 43%4
Brazil
Brazil6.7%
final 13% · ½ 25%5
England
England6.2%
final 13% · ½ 27%6
Morocco
Morocco4.9%
final 10% · ½ 20%7
Colombia
Colombia4.7%
final 11% · ½ 21%8
Japan
Japan3.8%
final 8% · ½ 17%9
Portugal
Portugal3.6%
final 7% · ½ 15%10
Belgium
Belgium3.1%
final 7% · ½ 16%11
Netherlands
Netherlands2.6%
final 6% · ½ 13%12
Germany
Germany2.1%
final 5% · ½ 12%13
Senegal
Senegal1.6%
final 4% · ½ 9%14
Algeria
Algeria1.2%
final 4% · ½ 10%15
Switzerland
Switzerland1.1%
final 3% · ½ 7%16
Mexico
Mexico1.1%
final 4% · ½ 10%17
Egypt
Egypt0.8%
final 3% · ½ 6%18
Croatia
Croatia0.8%
final 2% · ½ 6%19
Ecuador
Ecuador0.8%
final 2% · ½ 8%20
Canada
Canada0.7%
final 2% · ½ 7%21
United States
United States0.7%
final 2% · ½ 8%22
Norway
Norway0.7%
final 2% · ½ 6%23
Australia
Australia0.7%
final 2% · ½ 6%24
Côte d’Ivoire
Côte d’Ivoire0.3%
final 2% · ½ 5%25
Austria
Austria0.2%
final 1% · ½ 3%26
Paraguay
Paraguay0.1%
final 0% · ½ 2%27
Congo - Kinshasa
Congo - Kinshasa0.1%
final 1% · ½ 2%28
South Africa
South Africa0.1%
final 0% · ½ 1%29
Sweden
Sweden0.1%
final 0% · ½ 2%30
Cape Verde
Cape Verde0.0%
final 0% · ½ 1%31
Ghana
Ghana0.0%
final 0% · ½ 1%32
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bosnia & Herzegovina0.0%
final 0% · ½ 0%⚠️ Estimates from our engine on the official FIFA structure (neutral venue). Indicative — not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly · 18+.