Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 30/100
✓ correct
22%
30%
48%
1 22%X 30%2 48%
Match preview
St Pauli face Mainz in the Bundesliga, May 03, 2026 · 01:30 PM. Predify's model leans an away win with a 48% probability. Over their last five, St Pauli collected 1/15 points to Mainz's 7/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 39%, with BTTS at 44%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
0.8102 - 1.4397
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)52%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)78%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.567%
Over 2.539%
Over 3.519%
Clean sheet
St Pauli24%
Mainz44%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
St Pauli attaque 0.47 face à une défense 0.94 ; Mainz attaque 0.87 face à 1.10.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.8102 - 1.4397
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
St Pauli 1/15 · Mainz 7/15
Strengths — St Pauli: att 0.47 / def 1.10 · Mainz: att 0.87 / def 0.94
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
No odds available.
Likely scores
0-1 · 14.0%
1-1 · 13.5%
0-0 · 11.8%
0-2 · 10.9%
1-2 · 8.8%
Head-to-head
0St Pauli
1draws
2Mainz
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.7
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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