Analysis Union Berlin – St Pauli (Bundesliga)

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Bundesliga · April 05, 2026 · 01:30 PM

Union Berlin

1:1

St Pauli

1X2 prediction

confidence 29/100

actual X

43%

33%

24%

1 43%X 33%2 24%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

BTTS yes

39%

Expected goals

1.1981 - 0.7646

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)76%

12 (home/away)67%

X2 (draw/away)57%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.560%

Over 2.531%

Over 3.514%

Clean sheet

Union Berlin47%

St Pauli30%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Union Berlin attaque 0.65 face à une défense 0.99 ; St Pauli attaque 0.52 face à 0.98.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.1981 - 0.7646

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Union Berlin 7/15 · St Pauli 4/15

Strengths — Union Berlin: att 0.65 / def 0.98 · St Pauli: att 0.52 / def 0.99

Recent form (last 5)

Union Berlin

DWLWL

St Pauli

LWDLL

Market odds

No odds available.

Likely scores

1-0 · 15.5%

0-0 · 15.3%

1-1 · 14.2%

2-0 · 10.1%

0-1 · 9.4%

Head-to-head

2Union Berlin

0draws

1St Pauli

3 meetings

Avg goals · 1.7

BTTS yes · 0%

Over 2.5 · 33%

Nov 23, 25St Pauli0-1Union Berlin

Jan 26, 25St Pauli3-0Union Berlin

Aug 30, 24Union Berlin1-0St Pauli

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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