Predify
La Liga · May 24, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 62/100
✓ correct
65%
21%
14%
1 65%X 21%2 14%
Match preview
Leganes face Valladolid in the La Liga, May 24, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 65% probability. Over their last five, Leganes collected 8/15 points to Valladolid's 0/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 56% and both teams to score 49%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS yes
49%
Expected goals
2.1308 - 0.7963
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)86%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)35%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.580%
Over 2.556%
Over 3.534%
Clean sheet
Leganes45%
Valladolid12%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Leganes attaque 0.81 face à une défense 1.82 ; Valladolid attaque 0.58 face à 1.17.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.1308 - 0.7963
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Leganes 8/15 · Valladolid 0/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0023).
Strengths — Leganes: att 0.81 / def 1.17 · Valladolid: att 0.58 / def 1.82
Recent form (last 5)
LeganesDDWLW
ValladolidLLLLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.34 / 5.7 / 9
Likely scores
2-0 · 12.2%
1-0 · 10.5%
1-1 · 10.0%
2-1 · 9.7%
3-0 · 8.6%
Head-to-head
0Leganes
1draws
0Valladolid
1 meetings
Avg goals · 0.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Aug 28, 24Valladolid0-0Leganes
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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