Predify
La Liga · May 18, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 57/100
✓ correct
19%
28%
52%
1 19%X 28%2 52%
Match preview
Valladolid face Alaves in the La Liga, May 18, 2025. Predify's model leans an away win with a 52% probability. Over their last five, Valladolid collected 0/15 points to Alaves's 8/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 40%, with BTTS at 43%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS yes
43%
Expected goals
0.7527 - 1.5235
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)48%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)81%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.568%
Over 2.540%
Over 3.520%
Clean sheet
Valladolid22%
Alaves47%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Valladolid attaque 0.61 face à une défense 0.85 ; Alaves attaque 0.69 face à 1.89.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.7527 - 1.5235
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Valladolid 0/15 · Alaves 8/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0004).
Strengths — Valladolid: att 0.61 / def 1.89 · Alaves: att 0.69 / def 0.85
Recent form (last 5)
ValladolidLLLLL
AlavesDWDLW
Market odds
football-data — 5.44 / 3.67 / 1.72
Likely scores
0-1 · 14.5%
1-1 · 13.0%
0-2 · 11.9%
0-0 · 11.4%
1-2 · 9.0%
Head-to-head
1Valladolid
0draws
0Alaves
1 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Oct 18, 24Alaves2-3Valladolid
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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