Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 53/100
✓ correct
35%
31%
34%
1 35%X 31%2 34%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +10.8% vs market)
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
0.966 - 1.1718
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)66%
12 (home/away)69%
X2 (draw/away)65%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.564%
Over 2.536%
Over 3.517%
Clean sheet
Leganes31%
Espanol38%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Leganes attaque 0.77 face à une défense 0.86 ; Espanol attaque 0.87 face à 1.15.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.966 - 1.1718
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Leganes 4/15 · Espanol 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0151).
Strengths — Leganes: att 0.77 / def 1.15 · Espanol: att 0.87 / def 0.86
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.34 / 3.24 / 3.43
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.7%
0-0 · 13.1%
0-1 · 12.5%
1-0 · 10.1%
0-2 · 8.1%
Head-to-head
0Leganes
1draws
0Espanol
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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