Predify
La Liga · May 03, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 71/100
✓ correct
13%
78%
1 9%X 13%2 78%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +22.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
89%
Under 2.5
11%
BTTS yes
48%
Expected goals
0.6611 - 4.565
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)22%
12 (home/away)87%
X2 (draw/away)91%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.597%
Over 2.589%
Over 3.576%
Clean sheet
Valladolid1%
Barcelona52%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Valladolid attaque 0.63 face à une défense 0.73 ; Barcelona attaque 1.93 face à 2.03.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.6611 - 4.565
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Valladolid 0/15 · Barcelona 13/15
Accord avec le marché
⚠ Divergence notable avec le marché (0.0711) — prudence.
Strengths — Valladolid: att 0.63 / def 2.03 · Barcelona: att 1.93 / def 0.73
Recent form (last 5)
ValladolidLLLLL
BarcelonaWDWWW
Market odds
football-data — 8.12 / 6 / 1.34
Likely scores
0-4 · 9.8%
0-5 · 8.9%
0-3 · 8.6%
0-6 · 6.8%
1-4 · 6.5%
Head-to-head
1Valladolid
0draws
2Barcelona
3 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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