Predify
La Liga · May 03, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
actual X
23%
30%
46%
1 23%X 30%2 46%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +5.8% vs market)
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
0.8222 - 1.4769
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)54%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)77%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.568%
Over 2.540%
Over 3.520%
Clean sheet
Alaves23%
Ath Madrid44%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Alaves attaque 0.77 face à une défense 0.74 ; Ath Madrid attaque 1.32 face à 0.95.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.8222 - 1.4769
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Alaves 7/15 · Ath Madrid 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0028).
Strengths — Alaves: att 0.77 / def 0.95 · Ath Madrid: att 1.32 / def 0.74
Recent form (last 5)
AlavesLWLDW
AM Ath Madrid
DWWLW
Market odds
football-data — 4.07 / 3.19 / 2.13
Likely scores
0-1 · 13.6%
1-1 · 13.4%
0-0 · 11.3%
0-2 · 10.9%
1-2 · 9.0%
Head-to-head
2Alaves
0draws
3Ath Madrid
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.8
BTTS yes · 60%
Over 2.5 · 60%
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