Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
33%
30%
37%
1 33%X 30%2 37%
Match preview
Leganes face Girona in the La Liga, April 24, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 33% home, 30% draw, 37% away. Over their last five, Leganes collected 2/15 points to Girona's 1/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 50%, with BTTS at 55%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS yes
55%
Expected goals
1.313 - 1.3485
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)63%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)67%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.576%
Over 2.550%
Over 3.528%
Clean sheet
Leganes26%
Girona27%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Leganes attaque 0.73 face à une défense 1.28 ; Girona attaque 0.97 face à 1.16.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.313 - 1.3485
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Leganes 2/15 · Girona 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0021).
Strengths — Leganes: att 0.73 / def 1.16 · Girona: att 0.97 / def 1.28
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 3.25 / 3.17 / 2.47
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.6%
1-2 · 8.3%
0-0 · 8.2%
0-1 · 8.2%
2-1 · 8.1%
Head-to-head
0Leganes
0draws
1Girona
1 meetings
Avg goals · 7.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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