Predify
La Liga · April 19, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 58/100
actual 1
19%
26%
56%
1 19%X 26%2 56%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS yes
55%
Expected goals
0.9681 - 1.9956
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)44%
12 (home/away)74%
X2 (draw/away)81%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.581%
Over 2.557%
Over 3.534%
Clean sheet
Las Palmas14%
Ath Madrid38%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Las Palmas attaque 0.88 face à une défense 0.78 ; Ath Madrid attaque 1.33 face à 1.24.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9681 - 1.9956
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Las Palmas 5/15 · Ath Madrid 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0003).
Strengths — Las Palmas: att 0.88 / def 1.24 · Ath Madrid: att 1.33 / def 0.78
Recent form (last 5)
Las PalmasLDDLW
AM Ath Madrid
LLDWW
Market odds
football-data — 5.84 / 3.89 / 1.66
Likely scores
1-1 · 11.0%
0-2 · 10.3%
1-2 · 10.0%
0-1 · 9.3%
0-3 · 6.8%
Head-to-head
1Las Palmas
0draws
2Ath Madrid
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.3
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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