Predify
La Liga · April 14, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 76/100
✓ correct
83%
12%
1 83%X 12%2 5%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS yes
35%
Expected goals
3.1362 - 0.4426
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)95%
12 (home/away)88%
X2 (draw/away)17%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.588%
Over 2.569%
Over 3.548%
Clean sheet
Ath Madrid64%
Valladolid4%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Ath Madrid attaque 1.23 face à une défense 1.81 ; Valladolid attaque 0.50 face à 0.73.
Buts attendus (λ)
3.1362 - 0.4426
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Ath Madrid 7/15 · Valladolid 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0013).
Strengths — Ath Madrid: att 1.23 / def 0.73 · Valladolid: att 0.50 / def 1.81
Recent form (last 5)
AM Ath Madrid
WLLDW
ValladolidDLLLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.11 / 9.5 / 26
Likely scores
3-0 · 14.3%
2-0 · 13.7%
4-0 · 11.3%
1-0 · 8.4%
5-0 · 7.1%
Head-to-head
3Ath Madrid
0draws
0Valladolid
3 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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