Almeria face Cadiz in the La Liga, May 25, 2024 — and the model calls it tight: 42% home, 30% draw, 28% away. Over their last five, Almeria collected 4/15 points to Cadiz's 8/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 32%, with BTTS at 40%. The model also flags value on a draw versus the closing line. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.