Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 61/100
✓ correct
17%
21%
62%
1 17%X 21%2 62%
Match preview
Almeria face Barcelona in the La Liga, May 16, 2024. Predify's model leans an away win with a 62% probability. Over their last five, Almeria collected 4/15 points to Barcelona's 9/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 69% and both teams to score 63%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS yes
63%
Expected goals
1.1585 - 2.427
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)38%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)83%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.588%
Over 2.569%
Over 3.548%
Clean sheet
Almeria9%
Barcelona31%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Almeria attaque 0.83 face à une défense 0.94 ; Barcelona attaque 1.56 face à 1.41.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.1585 - 2.427
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Almeria 4/15 · Barcelona 9/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0015).
Strengths — Almeria: att 0.83 / def 1.41 · Barcelona: att 1.56 / def 0.94
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 7.15 / 5.47 / 1.41
Likely scores
1-2 · 9.5%
1-1 · 8.6%
0-2 · 8.2%
1-3 · 7.6%
0-3 · 6.6%
Head-to-head
1Almeria
0draws
2Barcelona
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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