Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 56/100
✓ correct
50%
29%
21%
1 50%X 29%2 21%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +10.4% vs market)
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS yes
38%
Expected goals
1.1547 - 0.7623
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)79%
12 (home/away)71%
X2 (draw/away)50%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.558%
Over 2.530%
Over 3.513%
Clean sheet
Vallecano47%
Granada32%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Vallecano attaque 0.56 face à une défense 1.39 ; Granada attaque 0.75 face à 0.93.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.1547 - 0.7623
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Vallecano 5/15 · Granada 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0258).
Strengths — Vallecano: att 0.56 / def 0.93 · Granada: att 0.75 / def 1.39
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.55 / 4.21 / 6.65
Likely scores
0-0 · 16.0%
1-0 · 15.7%
1-1 · 14.2%
0-1 · 9.9%
2-0 · 9.8%
Head-to-head
2Vallecano
1draws
0Granada
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.3
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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