Predify
La Liga · May 11, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 62/100
✓ correct
15%
22%
64%
1 15%X 22%2 64%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +12.7% vs market)
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
0.6413 - 2.3457
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)36%
12 (home/away)78%
X2 (draw/away)85%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.581%
Over 2.557%
Over 3.535%
Clean sheet
Granada10%
Real Madrid53%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Granada attaque 0.79 face à une défense 0.55 ; Real Madrid attaque 1.65 face à 1.29.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.6413 - 2.3457
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Granada 7/15 · Real Madrid 15/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0181).
Strengths — Granada: att 0.79 / def 1.29 · Real Madrid: att 1.65 / def 0.55
Recent form (last 5)
G Granada
LWDWL
Real MadridWWWWW
Market odds
football-data — 5.77 / 4.6 / 1.56
Likely scores
0-2 · 13.9%
0-1 · 11.1%
0-3 · 10.8%
1-2 · 8.9%
1-1 · 8.3%
Head-to-head
0Granada
0draws
3Real Madrid
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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