Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 56/100
actual 2
49%
29%
22%
1 49%X 29%2 22%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +6.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
1.3225 - 0.8616
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)78%
12 (home/away)71%
X2 (draw/away)51%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.565%
Over 2.537%
Over 3.518%
Clean sheet
Vallecano42%
Almeria27%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Vallecano attaque 0.62 face à une défense 1.44 ; Almeria attaque 0.79 face à 0.99.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3225 - 0.8616
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Vallecano 8/15 · Almeria 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0106).
Strengths — Vallecano: att 0.62 / def 0.99 · Almeria: att 0.79 / def 1.44
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.67 / 3.97 / 5.6
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.1%
1-0 · 13.6%
0-0 · 12.5%
2-0 · 9.8%
2-1 · 8.5%
Head-to-head
2Vallecano
0draws
1Almeria
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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