Predify
La Liga · April 19, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 65/100
actual X
70%
20%
1 70%X 20%2 10%
Match preview
Ath Bilbao face Granada in the La Liga, April 19, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 70% probability. Over their last five, Ath Bilbao collected 8/15 points to Granada's 3/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 55% and both teams to score 43%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS yes
43%
Expected goals
2.2542 - 0.6322
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)90%
12 (home/away)80%
X2 (draw/away)30%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.533%
Clean sheet
Ath Bilbao53%
Granada11%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Ath Bilbao attaque 1.15 face à une défense 1.38 ; Granada attaque 0.77 face à 0.76.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.2542 - 0.6322
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Ath Bilbao 8/15 · Granada 3/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0007).
Strengths — Ath Bilbao: att 1.15 / def 0.76 · Granada: att 0.77 / def 1.38
Recent form (last 5)
Ath BilbaoDWWLD
G Granada
LLLLW
Market odds
football-data — 1.28 / 6 / 11.82
Likely scores
2-0 · 14.2%
1-0 · 11.8%
3-0 · 10.7%
2-1 · 9.0%
1-1 · 8.7%
Head-to-head
0Ath Bilbao
2draws
1Granada
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.3
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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