Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 64/100
actual X
68%
21%
1 68%X 21%2 11%
Match preview
Sociedad face Almeria in the La Liga, April 14, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 68% probability. Over their last five, Sociedad collected 9/15 points to Almeria's 5/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 54% and both teams to score 44%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
2.1589 - 0.6637
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)89%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)32%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.578%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.531%
Clean sheet
Sociedad51%
Almeria12%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Sociedad attaque 1.08 face à une défense 1.41 ; Almeria attaque 0.77 face à 0.80.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.1589 - 0.6637
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Sociedad 9/15 · Almeria 5/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0014).
Strengths — Sociedad: att 1.08 / def 0.80 · Almeria: att 0.77 / def 1.41
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.3 / 5.64 / 12.57
Likely scores
2-0 · 13.9%
1-0 · 12.0%
3-0 · 10.0%
1-1 · 9.4%
2-1 · 9.2%
Head-to-head
3Sociedad
0draws
0Almeria
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.3
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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