Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
actual 2
58%
24%
18%
1 58%X 24%2 18%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +19.7% vs market)
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
2.2154 - 0.6616
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)82%
12 (home/away)76%
X2 (draw/away)42%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.533%
Clean sheet
Atalanta52%
Parma11%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Atalanta attaque 1.56 face à une défense 1.08 ; Parma attaque 0.82 face à 0.70.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.2154 - 0.6616
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Atalanta 13/15 · Parma 5/15
Accord avec le marché
⚠ Divergence notable avec le marché (0.036) — prudence.
Strengths — Atalanta: att 1.56 / def 0.70 · Parma: att 0.82 / def 1.08
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.85 / 3.8 / 4.38
Likely scores
2-0 · 13.8%
1-0 · 11.7%
3-0 · 10.2%
2-1 · 9.1%
1-1 · 9.1%
Head-to-head
1Atalanta
0draws
0Parma
1 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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