Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
actual X
16%
26%
58%
1 16%X 26%2 58%
Match preview
Parma face Napoli in the Serie A, May 18, 2025. Predify's model leans an away win with a 58% probability. Over their last five, Parma collected 5/15 points to Napoli's 13/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 44%, with BTTS at 44%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
0.7414 - 1.6877
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)42%
12 (home/away)74%
X2 (draw/away)84%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.571%
Over 2.544%
Over 3.523%
Clean sheet
Parma18%
Napoli48%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Parma attaque 0.87 face à une défense 0.66 ; Napoli attaque 1.26 face à 1.15.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.7414 - 1.6877
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Parma 5/15 · Napoli 13/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.003).
Strengths — Parma: att 0.87 / def 1.15 · Napoli: att 1.26 / def 0.66
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 7.39 / 4.44 / 1.48
Likely scores
0-1 · 13.8%
0-2 · 12.6%
1-1 · 12.1%
0-0 · 9.9%
1-2 · 9.3%
Head-to-head
0Parma
0draws
1Napoli
1 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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