Analysis Fiorentina – Bologna (Serie A)

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Serie A · May 18, 2025

Fiorentina

3:2

Bologna

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

actual 1

34%

31%

35%

1 34%X 31%2 35%

⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +6.2% vs market)

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS yes

52%

Expected goals

1.2906 - 1.2087

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)65%

12 (home/away)69%

X2 (draw/away)66%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.573%

Over 2.546%

Over 3.524%

Clean sheet

Fiorentina30%

Bologna28%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Fiorentina attaque 1.14 face à une défense 0.88 ; Bologna attaque 1.18 face à 0.88.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.2906 - 1.2087

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Fiorentina 7/15 · Bologna 5/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0032).

Strengths — Fiorentina: att 1.14 / def 0.88 · Bologna: att 1.18 / def 0.88

Recent form (last 5)

Fiorentina

DWWLL

Bologna

LWDDL

Market odds

football-data — 3.14 / 3.08 / 2.6

Likely scores

1-1 · 14.1%

0-0 · 9.5%

1-0 · 9.3%

0-1 · 8.6%

2-1 · 8.3%

Head-to-head

1Fiorentina

0draws

4Bologna

5 meetings

Avg goals · 2.4

BTTS yes · 60%

Over 2.5 · 60%

Dec 15, 24Bologna1-0Fiorentina

Feb 14, 24Bologna2-0Fiorentina

Nov 12, 23Fiorentina2-1Bologna

Feb 05, 23

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