Analysis Roma – Fiorentina (Serie A)

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Serie A · May 04, 2025

Roma

1:0

Fiorentina

1X2 prediction

confidence 55/100

✓ correct

47%

29%

24%

1 47%X 29%2 24%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +7.0% vs market)

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS yes

47%

Expected goals

1.3215 - 0.9618

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)76%

12 (home/away)71%

X2 (draw/away)53%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.568%

Over 2.540%

Over 3.520%

Clean sheet

Roma38%

Fiorentina27%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Roma attaque 1.21 face à une défense 0.85 ; Fiorentina attaque 1.24 face à 0.68.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.3215 - 0.9618

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Roma 11/15 · Fiorentina 11/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0098).

Strengths — Roma: att 1.21 / def 0.68 · Fiorentina: att 1.24 / def 0.85

Recent form (last 5)

Roma

WDDWW

Fiorentina

WDDWW

Market odds

football-data — 1.76 / 3.69 / 5.11

Likely scores

1-1 · 14.2%

1-0 · 12.2%

0-0 · 11.5%

2-0 · 8.9%

2-1 · 8.6%

Head-to-head

1Roma

2draws

2Fiorentina

5 meetings

Avg goals · 3.4

BTTS yes · 80%

Over 2.5 · 60%

Oct 27, 24Fiorentina5-1Roma

Mar 10, 24Fiorentina2-2Roma

Dec 10, 23Roma1-1Fiorentina

May 27, 23

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