Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 69/100
actual X
74%
18%
1 74%X 18%2 8%
Match preview
Atalanta face Lecce in the Serie A, April 27, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 74% probability. Over their last five, Atalanta collected 6/15 points to Lecce's 1/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 57% and both teams to score 35%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS yes
35%
Expected goals
2.4891 - 0.462
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)92%
12 (home/away)82%
X2 (draw/away)26%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.580%
Over 2.557%
Over 3.534%
Clean sheet
Atalanta63%
Lecce8%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Atalanta attaque 1.45 face à une défense 1.30 ; Lecce attaque 0.60 face à 0.66.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.4891 - 0.462
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Atalanta 6/15 · Lecce 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0031).
Strengths — Atalanta: att 1.45 / def 0.66 · Lecce: att 0.60 / def 1.30
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.25 / 6.27 / 13.13
Likely scores
2-0 · 16.2%
3-0 · 13.4%
1-0 · 12.4%
4-0 · 8.4%
2-1 · 7.5%
Head-to-head
3Atalanta
0draws
2Lecce
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.6
BTTS yes · 40%
Over 2.5 · 60%
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