Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 64/100
✓ correct
21%
68%
1 11%X 21%2 68%
Match preview
Monza face Napoli in the Serie A, April 19, 2025. Predify's model leans an away win with a 68% probability. Over their last five, Monza collected 1/15 points to Napoli's 11/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 51% and both teams to score 40%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS yes
40%
Expected goals
0.588 - 2.1241
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)32%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)89%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.576%
Over 2.551%
Over 3.529%
Clean sheet
Monza12%
Napoli56%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Monza attaque 0.62 face à une défense 0.70 ; Napoli attaque 1.24 face à 1.48.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.588 - 2.1241
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Monza 1/15 · Napoli 11/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0003).
Strengths — Monza: att 0.62 / def 1.48 · Napoli: att 1.24 / def 0.70
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 10.64 / 5.25 / 1.33
Likely scores
0-2 · 15.0%
0-1 · 13.3%
0-3 · 10.6%
1-1 · 9.1%
1-2 · 8.8%
Head-to-head
1Monza
1draws
3Napoli
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.8
BTTS yes · 20%
Over 2.5 · 40%
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