Predify
Serie A · April 13, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 58/100
actual X
54%
26%
19%
1 54%X 26%2 19%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +5.4% vs market)
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS yes
53%
Expected goals
1.9603 - 0.9225
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)81%
12 (home/away)74%
X2 (draw/away)46%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.533%
Clean sheet
Fiorentina40%
Parma14%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Fiorentina attaque 1.20 face à une défense 1.21 ; Parma attaque 0.90 face à 0.86.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.9603 - 0.9225
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Fiorentina 10/15 · Parma 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0022).
Strengths — Fiorentina: att 1.20 / def 0.86 · Parma: att 0.90 / def 1.21
Recent form (last 5)
FiorentinaWLWWD
ParmaLDDDD
Market odds
football-data — 1.76 / 3.71 / 5.22
Likely scores
1-1 · 11.1%
2-0 · 10.8%
1-0 · 10.0%
2-1 · 9.9%
3-0 · 7.0%
Head-to-head
0Fiorentina
1draws
0Parma
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Aug 17, 24Parma1-1Fiorentina
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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