Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
46%
28%
25%
1 46%X 28%2 25%
Match preview
Atalanta face Bologna in the Serie A, April 13, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 46% probability. Over their last five, Atalanta collected 4/15 points to Bologna's 13/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 51% and both teams to score 55%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS yes
55%
Expected goals
1.5845 - 1.14
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)75%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)54%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.577%
Over 2.551%
Over 3.529%
Clean sheet
Atalanta32%
Bologna21%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Atalanta attaque 1.44 face à une défense 0.81 ; Bologna attaque 1.33 face à 0.72.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.5845 - 1.14
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Atalanta 4/15 · Bologna 13/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0021).
Strengths — Atalanta: att 1.44 / def 0.72 · Bologna: att 1.33 / def 0.81
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.92 / 3.54 / 4.46
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.0%
2-1 · 9.4%
1-0 · 9.2%
2-0 · 8.2%
0-0 · 7.7%
Head-to-head
1Atalanta
1draws
3Bologna
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.2
BTTS yes · 60%
Over 2.5 · 40%
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