Analysis Empoli – Cagliari (Serie A)

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Serie A · April 06, 2025

EmpoliE0:0

Cagliari

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

actual X

31%

38%

1 31%X 31%2 38%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +14.1% vs market)

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS yes

45%

Expected goals

0.9042 - 1.3556

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)62%

12 (home/away)69%

X2 (draw/away)69%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.567%

Over 2.539%

Over 3.519%

Clean sheet

Empoli26%

Cagliari40%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Empoli attaque 0.60 face à une défense 1.10 ; Cagliari attaque 0.86 face à 1.31.

Buts attendus (λ)

0.9042 - 1.3556

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Empoli 2/15 · Cagliari 4/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0193).

Strengths — Empoli: att 0.60 / def 1.31 · Cagliari: att 0.86 / def 1.10

Recent form (last 5)

E Empoli

LDLLD

Cagliari

LLDLW

Market odds

football-data — 2.66 / 3.09 / 3.05

Likely scores

1-1 · 14.1%

0-1 · 12.9%

0-0 · 11.7%

0-2 · 9.6%

1-2 · 8.7%

Head-to-head

2Empoli

2draws

1Cagliari

5 meetings

Avg goals · 1.4

BTTS yes · 20%

Over 2.5 · 0%

Sep 20, 24Cagliari0-2Empoli

Mar 03, 24Empoli0-1Cagliari

Dec 30, 23Cagliari0-0Empoli

Feb 13, 22

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