Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 56/100
✓ correct
50%
26%
24%
1 50%X 26%2 24%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +22.0% vs market)
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS yes
56%
Expected goals
2.1517 - 0.9647
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)76%
12 (home/away)74%
X2 (draw/away)50%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.583%
Over 2.560%
Over 3.538%
Clean sheet
Genoa38%
Sassuolo12%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Genoa attaque 0.97 face à une défense 1.56 ; Sassuolo attaque 0.87 face à 0.93.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.1517 - 0.9647
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Genoa 8/15 · Sassuolo 5/15
Accord avec le marché
⚠ Divergence notable avec le marché (0.0385) — prudence.
Strengths — Genoa: att 0.97 / def 0.93 · Sassuolo: att 0.87 / def 1.56
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.34 / 3.4 / 3.27
Likely scores
2-0 · 10.3%
1-1 · 10.1%
2-1 · 9.9%
1-0 · 8.6%
3-0 · 7.4%
Head-to-head
1Genoa
2draws
0Sassuolo
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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