Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
38%
30%
32%
1 38%X 30%2 32%
Match preview
Empoli face Frosinone in the Serie A, May 05, 2024 — and the model calls it tight: 38% home, 30% draw, 32% away. Over their last five, Empoli collected 6/15 points to Frosinone's 7/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 45%, with BTTS at 51%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS yes
51%
Expected goals
1.2898 - 1.1687
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)68%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)62%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.572%
Over 2.545%
Over 3.523%
Clean sheet
Empoli31%
Frosinone28%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Empoli attaque 0.68 face à une défense 1.34 ; Frosinone attaque 0.96 face à 1.05.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.2898 - 1.1687
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Empoli 6/15 · Frosinone 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0).
Strengths — Empoli: att 0.68 / def 1.05 · Frosinone: att 0.96 / def 1.34
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.53 / 3.26 / 3.07
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.2%
0-0 · 9.8%
1-0 · 9.8%
0-1 · 8.7%
2-1 · 8.3%
Head-to-head
0Empoli
0draws
1Frosinone
1 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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