Predify
Serie A · April 26, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
✓ correct
59%
23%
18%
1 59%X 23%2 18%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +8.7% vs market)
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS yes
59%
Expected goals
1.9908 - 1.122
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)82%
12 (home/away)77%
X2 (draw/away)41%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.583%
Over 2.560%
Over 3.538%
Clean sheet
Frosinone33%
Salernitana14%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Frosinone attaque 0.88 face à une défense 1.62 ; Salernitana attaque 0.66 face à 1.40.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.9908 - 1.122
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Frosinone 4/15 · Salernitana 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0157).
Strengths — Frosinone: att 0.88 / def 1.40 · Salernitana: att 0.66 / def 1.62
Recent form (last 5)
FrosinoneLDDDD
S Salernitana
LLDLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.39 / 5.16 / 8.57
Likely scores
1-1 · 10.9%
2-1 · 9.9%
2-0 · 8.8%
1-0 · 7.9%
3-1 · 6.6%
Head-to-head
0Frosinone
1draws
0Salernitana
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Sep 22, 23Salernitana1-1Frosinone
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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