Predify
Serie A · April 05, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
32%
28%
40%
1 32%X 28%2 40%
Match preview
Salernitana face Sassuolo in the Serie A, April 05, 2024 — and the model calls it tight: 32% home, 28% draw, 40% away. Over their last five, Salernitana collected 1/15 points to Sassuolo's 4/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 54% and both teams to score 58%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS yes
58%
Expected goals
1.333 - 1.4997
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)60%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)68%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.532%
Clean sheet
Salernitana22%
Sassuolo26%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Salernitana attaque 0.65 face à une défense 1.44 ; Sassuolo attaque 0.82 face à 1.55.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.333 - 1.4997
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Salernitana 1/15 · Sassuolo 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0005).
Strengths — Salernitana: att 0.65 / def 1.55 · Sassuolo: att 0.82 / def 1.44
Recent form (last 5)
S Salernitana
LDLLL
SassuoloLLWLD
Market odds
football-data — 3.22 / 3.53 / 2.31
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.9%
1-2 · 8.8%
2-1 · 7.8%
0-1 · 7.6%
0-0 · 7.1%
Head-to-head
1Salernitana
2draws
2Sassuolo
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.4
BTTS yes · 40%
Over 2.5 · 80%
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