Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
43%
32%
26%
1 43%X 32%2 26%
Match preview
Lecce face Spezia in the Serie A, May 21, 2023 — and the model calls it tight: 43% home, 32% draw, 26% away. Over their last five, Lecce collected 4/15 points to Spezia's 4/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 32%, with BTTS at 40%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS yes
40%
Expected goals
1.1583 - 0.8225
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)74%
12 (home/away)68%
X2 (draw/away)57%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.560%
Over 2.532%
Over 3.514%
Clean sheet
Lecce44%
Spezia31%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lecce attaque 0.68 face à une défense 1.24 ; Spezia attaque 0.71 face à 1.01.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.1583 - 0.8225
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lecce 4/15 · Spezia 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0013).
Strengths — Lecce: att 0.68 / def 1.01 · Spezia: att 0.71 / def 1.24
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.12 / 3.29 / 4.03
Likely scores
0-0 · 15.1%
1-0 · 14.7%
1-1 · 14.5%
0-1 · 10.0%
2-0 · 9.3%
Head-to-head
0Lecce
1draws
0Spezia
1 meetings
Avg goals · 0.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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