Predify
Serie A · May 20, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 69/100
✓ correct
75%
17%
1 75%X 17%2 8%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +9.1% vs market)
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS yes
41%
Expected goals
2.2145 - 0.5927
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)92%
12 (home/away)83%
X2 (draw/away)25%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.578%
Over 2.553%
Over 3.531%
Clean sheet
Milan55%
Sampdoria11%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Milan attaque 1.14 face à une défense 1.43 ; Sampdoria attaque 0.59 face à 0.88.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.2145 - 0.5927
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Milan 8/15 · Sampdoria 2/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0183).
Strengths — Milan: att 1.14 / def 0.88 · Sampdoria: att 0.59 / def 1.43
Recent form (last 5)
MilanWDDWL
S Sampdoria
DLLLD
Market odds
football-data — 1.12 / 10.26 / 23.23
Likely scores
2-0 · 14.8%
1-0 · 12.6%
3-0 · 10.9%
2-1 · 8.8%
1-1 · 8.7%
Head-to-head
3Milan
0draws
0Sampdoria
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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