Predify
Serie A · May 20, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
26%
29%
44%
1 26%X 29%2 44%
Match preview
Cremonese face Bologna in the Serie A, May 20, 2023 — and the model calls it tight: 26% home, 29% draw, 44% away. Over their last five, Cremonese collected 5/15 points to Bologna's 3/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 43%, with BTTS at 49%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS yes
49%
Expected goals
0.9887 - 1.4146
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)56%
12 (home/away)71%
X2 (draw/away)74%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.570%
Over 2.543%
Over 3.522%
Clean sheet
Cremonese24%
Bologna37%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Cremonese attaque 0.79 face à une défense 0.92 ; Bologna attaque 0.95 face à 1.31.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9887 - 1.4146
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Cremonese 5/15 · Bologna 3/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0002).
Strengths — Cremonese: att 0.79 / def 1.31 · Bologna: att 0.95 / def 0.92
Recent form (last 5)
C Cremonese
LDDWL
BolognaLDLDD
Market odds
football-data — 3.88 / 3.51 / 2.08
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.9%
0-1 · 11.5%
0-0 · 10.3%
0-2 · 9.0%
1-2 · 8.9%
Head-to-head
0Cremonese
1draws
0Bologna
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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