Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 57/100
actual 1
20%
27%
53%
1 20%X 27%2 53%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +11.0% vs market)
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS yes
45%
Expected goals
0.7486 - 1.8249
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)47%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)80%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.574%
Over 2.547%
Over 3.526%
Clean sheet
Spezia16%
Milan47%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Spezia attaque 0.67 face à une défense 0.83 ; Milan attaque 1.19 face à 1.32.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.7486 - 1.8249
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Spezia 1/15 · Milan 9/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0111).
Strengths — Spezia: att 0.67 / def 1.32 · Milan: att 1.19 / def 0.83
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 4.5 / 3.58 / 1.92
Likely scores
0-1 · 12.9%
0-2 · 12.7%
1-1 · 11.5%
1-2 · 9.5%
0-0 · 8.7%
Head-to-head
1Spezia
0draws
2Milan
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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