Predify
Serie A · May 03, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 63/100
actual X
65%
22%
13%
1 65%X 22%2 13%
Match preview
Milan face Cremonese in the Serie A, May 03, 2023. Predify's model leans a home win with a 65% probability. Over their last five, Milan collected 9/15 points to Cremonese's 7/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 59% and both teams to score 50%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS yes
50%
Expected goals
2.276 - 0.8059
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)87%
12 (home/away)78%
X2 (draw/away)35%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.582%
Over 2.559%
Over 3.537%
Clean sheet
Milan45%
Cremonese10%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Milan attaque 1.20 face à une défense 1.40 ; Cremonese attaque 0.79 face à 0.89.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.276 - 0.8059
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Milan 9/15 · Cremonese 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0001).
Strengths — Milan: att 1.20 / def 0.89 · Cremonese: att 0.79 / def 1.40
Recent form (last 5)
MilanWDDWD
C Cremonese
LWWLD
Market odds
football-data — 1.37 / 5.04 / 9.46
Likely scores
2-0 · 11.9%
1-0 · 9.6%
2-1 · 9.6%
1-1 · 9.3%
3-0 · 9.0%
Head-to-head
0Milan
1draws
0Cremonese
1 meetings
Avg goals · 0.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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