Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
✓ correct
30%
30%
40%
1 30%X 30%2 40%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +12.2% vs market)
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS yes
50%
Expected goals
0.9839 - 1.4945
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)60%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)70%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.572%
Over 2.545%
Over 3.524%
Clean sheet
Spezia22%
Monza37%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Spezia attaque 0.69 face à une défense 1.06 ; Monza attaque 1.05 face à 1.24.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9839 - 1.4945
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Spezia 3/15 · Monza 8/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0144).
Strengths — Spezia: att 0.69 / def 1.24 · Monza: att 1.05 / def 1.06
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.81 / 3.33 / 2.76
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.6%
0-1 · 11.3%
0-0 · 9.6%
0-2 · 9.4%
1-2 · 9.2%
Head-to-head
0Spezia
0draws
1Monza
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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