Analysis St Etienne – Toulouse (Ligue 1)

Back to matches

Ligue 1 · May 17, 2025

St EtienneSE2:3

Toulouse

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

✓ correct

32%

26%

42%

1 32%X 26%2 42%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +16.9% vs market)

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

BTTS yes

60%

Expected goals

1.1982 - 1.8567

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)58%

12 (home/away)74%

X2 (draw/away)68%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.582%

Over 2.559%

Over 3.537%

Clean sheet

St Etienne16%

Toulouse30%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

St Etienne attaque 0.87 face à une défense 0.91 ; Toulouse attaque 0.89 face à 1.50.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.1982 - 1.8567

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

St Etienne 7/15 · Toulouse 5/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0269).

Strengths — St Etienne: att 0.87 / def 1.50 · Toulouse: att 0.89 / def 0.91

Recent form (last 5)

SE St Etienne

DWLLW

Toulouse

LLDWD

Market odds

football-data — 2.46 / 3.79 / 2.79

Likely scores

1-1 · 11.5%

1-2 · 9.7%

0-2 · 8.1%

0-1 · 7.7%

2-1 · 6.3%

Head-to-head

0St Etienne

0draws

1Toulouse

1 meetings

Avg goals · 3.0

BTTS yes · 100%

Over 2.5 · 100%

Dec 13, 24Toulouse2-1St Etienne

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

Embed this prediction

Paste this on your site — it stays in sync and links back to Predify.

<iframe src="https://getpredify.com/embed/match/cmquoidug0agwt0ddogvjocw6" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Predify prediction"></iframe>