Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
40%
30%
30%
1 40%X 30%2 30%
Match preview
Toulouse face Lens in the Ligue 1, May 10, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 40% home, 30% draw, 30% away. Over their last five, Toulouse collected 4/15 points to Lens's 9/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 40%, with BTTS at 47%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS yes
47%
Expected goals
1.24 - 1.0314
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)70%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)60%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.568%
Over 2.540%
Over 3.519%
Clean sheet
Toulouse36%
Lens29%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Toulouse attaque 0.90 face à une défense 0.90 ; Lens attaque 0.81 face à 0.91.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.24 - 1.0314
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Toulouse 4/15 · Lens 9/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0012).
Strengths — Toulouse: att 0.90 / def 0.91 · Lens: att 0.81 / def 0.90
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.3 / 3.56 / 3.21
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.5%
0-0 · 11.6%
1-0 · 11.5%
0-1 · 9.3%
2-1 · 8.2%
Head-to-head
1Toulouse
0draws
4Lens
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 20%
Over 2.5 · 40%
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