Analysis Brest – Lille (Ligue 1)

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Ligue 1 · May 10, 2025

Brest

2:0

Lille

1X2 prediction

confidence 55/100

actual 1

25%

26%

49%

1 25%X 26%2 49%

⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +7.8% vs market)

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

BTTS yes

57%

Expected goals

1.1945 - 1.6009

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)51%

12 (home/away)74%

X2 (draw/away)75%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.578%

Over 2.553%

Over 3.531%

Clean sheet

Brest20%

Lille30%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Brest attaque 1.09 face à une défense 0.72 ; Lille attaque 1.06 face à 1.08.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.1945 - 1.6009

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Brest 7/15 · Lille 10/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0103).

Strengths — Brest: att 1.09 / def 1.08 · Lille: att 1.06 / def 0.72

Recent form (last 5)

Brest

WDLLW

Lille

LWWWD

Market odds

football-data — 4.97 / 4.16 / 1.7

Likely scores

1-1 · 12.8%

1-2 · 9.3%

0-1 · 8.6%

0-2 · 7.8%

0-0 · 7.3%

Head-to-head

0Brest

2draws

3Lille

5 meetings

Avg goals · 2.0

BTTS yes · 60%

Over 2.5 · 40%

Dec 06, 24Lille3-1Brest

Mar 17, 24Brest1-1Lille

Oct 22, 23Lille1-0Brest

Feb 24, 23Lille

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