Auxerre face Nantes in the Ligue 1, May 10, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 42% home, 29% draw, 29% away. Over their last five, Auxerre collected 6/15 points to Nantes's 5/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 47%, with BTTS at 49%. The model also flags value on a home win versus the closing line. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.