Predify
Ligue 1 · May 03, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 62/100
✓ correct
16%
20%
65%
1 16%X 20%2 65%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +6.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS yes
61%
Expected goals
1.0476 - 2.7608
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)35%
12 (home/away)80%
X2 (draw/away)84%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.590%
Over 2.573%
Over 3.553%
Clean sheet
St Etienne6%
Monaco35%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
St Etienne attaque 0.84 face à une défense 0.80 ; Monaco attaque 1.28 face à 1.54.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.0476 - 2.7608
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
St Etienne 4/15 · Monaco 8/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0039).
Strengths — St Etienne: att 0.84 / def 1.54 · Monaco: att 1.28 / def 0.80
Recent form (last 5)
SE St Etienne
LLDWL
MonacoWLWDD
Market odds
football-data — 6.33 / 5.25 / 1.46
Likely scores
1-2 · 8.9%
0-2 · 8.5%
1-3 · 8.2%
0-3 · 7.8%
1-1 · 7.1%
Head-to-head
0St Etienne
0draws
3Monaco
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.3
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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