Analysis Strasbourg – Paris SG (Ligue 1)

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Ligue 1 · May 03, 2025

Strasbourg

2:1

Paris SG

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

actual 1

33%

27%

40%

1 33%X 27%2 40%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +14.7% vs market)

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

BTTS yes

59%

Expected goals

1.2263 - 1.7432

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)60%

12 (home/away)73%

X2 (draw/away)67%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.581%

Over 2.557%

Over 3.535%

Clean sheet

Strasbourg18%

Paris SG29%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Strasbourg attaque 1.07 face à une défense 0.74 ; Paris SG attaque 1.73 face à 0.72.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.2263 - 1.7432

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Strasbourg 11/15 · Paris SG 10/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0218).

Strengths — Strasbourg: att 1.07 / def 0.72 · Paris SG: att 1.73 / def 0.74

Recent form (last 5)

Strasbourg

WWDDW

Paris SG

WWWDL

Market odds

football-data — 2.38 / 3.83 / 2.88

Likely scores

1-1 · 12.1%

1-2 · 9.6%

0-1 · 7.8%

0-2 · 7.8%

2-1 · 6.7%

Head-to-head

0Strasbourg

1draws

4Paris SG

5 meetings

Avg goals · 3.4

BTTS yes · 80%

Over 2.5 · 80%

Oct 19, 24Paris SG4-2Strasbourg

Feb 02, 24Strasbourg1-2Paris SG

Oct 21, 23Paris SG3-0Strasbourg

May 27, 23

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