Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
actual 2
48%
28%
24%
1 48%X 28%2 24%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +10.6% vs market)
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS yes
46%
Expected goals
1.2354 - 0.9769
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)76%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)52%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.566%
Over 2.538%
Over 3.518%
Clean sheet
Lens38%
Auxerre29%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lens attaque 0.81 face à une défense 0.97 ; Auxerre attaque 0.88 face à 0.79.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.2354 - 0.9769
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lens 9/15 · Auxerre 7/15
Accord avec le marché
⚠ Divergence notable avec le marché (0.0305) — prudence.
Strengths — Lens: att 0.81 / def 0.79 · Auxerre: att 0.88 / def 0.97
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.58 / 4.48 / 5.62
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.5%
0-0 · 12.3%
1-0 · 12.2%
0-1 · 9.4%
2-0 · 8.3%
Head-to-head
2Lens
1draws
0Auxerre
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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