Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 57/100
✓ correct
55%
25%
19%
1 55%X 25%2 19%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +14.1% vs market)
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS yes
48%
Expected goals
1.3996 - 0.9525
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)81%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)45%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.569%
Over 2.542%
Over 3.521%
Clean sheet
Lille39%
Auxerre25%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lille attaque 0.99 face à une défense 0.91 ; Auxerre attaque 0.90 face à 0.75.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3996 - 0.9525
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lille 9/15 · Auxerre 10/15
Accord avec le marché
⚠ Divergence notable avec le marché (0.0523) — prudence.
Strengths — Lille: att 0.99 / def 0.75 · Auxerre: att 0.90 / def 0.91
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.35 / 5.39 / 9.47
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.0%
1-0 · 12.0%
0-0 · 10.8%
2-0 · 9.3%
2-1 · 8.9%
Head-to-head
1Lille
2draws
0Auxerre
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.3
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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