Predify
Ligue 1 · April 13, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 57/100
actual X
22%
24%
54%
1 22%X 24%2 54%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +18.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS yes
60%
Expected goals
1.0511 - 2.4003
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)46%
12 (home/away)76%
X2 (draw/away)78%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.587%
Over 2.567%
Over 3.545%
Clean sheet
St Etienne9%
Brest35%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
St Etienne attaque 0.74 face à une défense 0.93 ; Brest attaque 1.11 face à 1.55.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.0511 - 2.4003
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
St Etienne 4/15 · Brest 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0273).
Strengths — St Etienne: att 0.74 / def 1.55 · Brest: att 1.11 / def 0.93
Recent form (last 5)
SE St Etienne
LDWLL
BrestLWDWW
Market odds
football-data — 3.65 / 3.84 / 2.02
Likely scores
1-2 · 9.6%
0-2 · 9.1%
1-1 · 8.8%
1-3 · 7.7%
0-3 · 7.3%
Head-to-head
1St Etienne
0draws
2Brest
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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