Predify
Ligue 1 · April 06, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
✓ correct
57%
24%
18%
1 57%X 24%2 18%
Match preview
Lens face St Etienne in the Ligue 1, April 06, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 57% probability. Over their last five, Lens collected 6/15 points to St Etienne's 5/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 55% and both teams to score 52%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS yes
52%
Expected goals
1.9702 - 0.8926
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)82%
12 (home/away)76%
X2 (draw/away)43%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.532%
Clean sheet
Lens41%
St Etienne14%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lens attaque 0.79 face à une défense 1.60 ; St Etienne attaque 0.78 face à 0.82.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.9702 - 0.8926
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lens 6/15 · St Etienne 5/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0006).
Strengths — Lens: att 0.79 / def 0.82 · St Etienne: att 0.78 / def 1.60
Recent form (last 5)
LensLLWWL
SE St Etienne
DLDWL
Market odds
football-data — 1.6 / 4.43 / 5.56
Likely scores
2-0 · 11.1%
1-1 · 11.1%
1-0 · 10.3%
2-1 · 9.9%
3-0 · 7.3%
Head-to-head
2Lens
1draws
0St Etienne
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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